中山管理評論

  期刊全文閱覽

中山管理評論  1994/3

第2卷第1期  p.79-101


題目
Evaluating the Cost Impact of Forecast Errors and Cost Structure Sensitivity Analysis under Various Product Structures for MRP
Evaluating the Cost Impact of Forecast Errors and Cost Structure Sensitivity Analysis under Various Product Structures for MRP
(633621934172812500.pdf 614KB)

作者
T.S. Lee、Everett E. Adam, Jr./Department of Decision Sciences & Managerial Economics Faculty of Business Administration The Chinese University of Hong Kong、Department of Management College of Business and Public Administration The University of Utach
T.S. Lee、Everett E. Adam, Jr./

Department of Decision Sciences & Managerial Economics Faculty of Business Administration The Chinese University of Hong Kong、Department of Management College of Business and Public Administration The University of Utah


摘要(中文)

The capability of material requirements planning (MRP) as a management information system for world class manufacturing is widely recognized. This study extends previous work by increasing the complexity of product structures and conducting sensitivity analysis on cost structures. For the more complex product structures introducing forecasting error into the master production schedule by positively biasing the forecast reduces total costs. Biasing forecasts is especially effective when stockout costs dominate carrying and ordering costs in the total cost structure. The cost structure sensitiviity analysis shows that: (1) when shortage cost is reduced the cost curve related to underforecasting (forecast less than demand) shifts downward, and vice versa; and (2) when carrying cost is reduced the cost curve shifts downward. The magnitude of change related to overforecasting (forecast higher than demand) is greater than the magnitude of change related to underforecasting.

(633621934172187500.pdf 40KB)

關鍵字(中文)

Production and Operations Management, Material Requirements Planning, Systems Simulation


摘要(英文)

The capability of material requirements planning (MRP) as a management information system for world class manufacturing is widely recognized. This study extends previous work by increasing the complexity of product structures and conducting sensitivity analysis on cost structures. For the more complex product structures introducing forecasting error into the master production schedule by positively biasing the forecast reduces total costs. Biasing forecasts is especially effective when stockout costs dominate carrying and ordering costs in the total cost structure. The cost structure sensitiviity analysis shows that: (1) when shortage cost is reduced the cost curve related to underforecasting (forecast less than demand) shifts downward, and vice versa; and (2) when carrying cost is reduced the cost curve shifts downward. The magnitude of change related to overforecasting (forecast higher than demand) is greater than the magnitude of change related to underforecasting.

(633621934172187500.pdf 40KB)

關鍵字(英文)

Production and Operations Management, Material Requirements Planning, Systems Simulation


政策與管理意涵


參考文獻